Updated February 28 at 8:42pm

Moody’s calls pension settlement failure ‘credit negative’ for R.I.

Moody’s Investors Service issued a warning on April 17 regarding Rhode Island’s failure to reach a settlement with public employee unions over the state’s pension lawsuit, which will go trial on Sept. 15 following the breakdown in renewed mediation talks earlier this month. More

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pension reform

Moody’s calls pension settlement failure ‘credit negative’ for R.I.

Posted:

(Updated, 4:18 p.m.)

PROVIDENCE – Moody’s Investors Service issued a warning on April 17 regarding Rhode Island’s failure to reach a settlement with public employee unions over the state’s pension lawsuit, which will go trial on Sept. 15 following the breakdown in renewed mediation talks earlier this month.

Calling the development a “credit negative” for both state and local governments, Moody’s said this “latest twist in the legal fall-out” stemming from the Rhode Island Retirement Security Act to contain retiree pension costs prolongs uncertainty over the “bellwether” pension reforms and risks an estimated $400 million in annual pension savings.

Moody’s analysts Marcia Van Wagner and Vito Galluccio wrote that the “range in projected annual state costs between the most favorable legal outcomes to the most unfavorable poses a considerable risk” to the state’s fiscal stability.

According to actuarial estimates by the Employee Retirement System of Rhode Island, the state’s projected fiscal 2016 required pension contributions would be $280 million if the current reforms are upheld in court, a savings of about 45 percent. Conversely, a complete reversal of the 2011 pension overhaul would result in state annual required contributions of $500 million for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2016, or about 14 percent of the $3.55 billion in state revenue projected for that year, Moody’s said.

In addition, municipal governments would lose $178 million in savings to pension contributions if the reforms were overturned, Moody’s said, placing increased financial pressure on cities like Woonsocket and Providence “that already are financially stressed” by high pension costs.

“Rhode Island is challenged by narrow liquidity and sluggish economic growth, and faces increasing competition from Massachusetts for critical gaming revenues,” Moody’s said. “An unfavorable court decision will result in extremely difficult budgetary choices and considerable credit pressure.”

Faye Zuckerman and Joy Fox, spokeswomen for Gov. Lincoln D. Chafee and R.I. General Treasurer Gina M. Raimondo, issued the following statement in response: “While we acknowledge Moody’s concern, Governor Chafee and General Treasurer Raimondo remain confident that the state has a strong case [in the pension litigation].”

On Monday, Bloomberg News reported that Rhode Island is selling $79.5 million in bonds this week, following the pension settlement failure.

Rhode Island is selling the general-obligation munis to retire older bonds and save $3.3 million, according to Standard & Poor’s. The ratings company ranks the securities AA, its third-highest level of investment grade.

Bloomberg News contributed to this report.

Moody’s Investors Service, Rhode Island pension lawsuit, Rhode Island Retirement Security Act, Marcia Van Wagner, Vito Galluccio, Employee Retirement System of Rhode Island, ERSRI, Gina M. Raimondo, Lincoln D. Chafee,

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mgr1929@hotmail.com

My work shows an even larger ARC for fiscal 2016 and 2017 of near $ 650 million when GASB 68 and the proper discount rate is applied to liabilities . Additionally the negative spillover effect on municipalities

would also be approximately 20 to 50 % larger than the Moody's estimates for critical status towns like Providence or Woonsocket or Johnston.

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