R.I.’s LEI index up 1% in Oct., its biggest gain since March ’12
RHODE ISLAND'S Leading Economic Indicator Index -- produced jointly by Providence Business News and e-forecasting.com -- continued its six-month climb in October, rising 1 percent to 123.9 compared with 122.7 a month earlier.
PROVIDENCE – An index of Rhode Island’s leading economic indicators produced by Providence Business News and e-forecasting.com rose 1 percent in October to 123.9 from 122.7 in September.
The 1 percent increase in October – the biggest gain since March 2012, when the index rose 1.1 percent – followed an increase of 0.7 percent in September, signifying an acceleration of the coming economic growth in the state. October was the sixth consecutive month of improvement in Rhode Island’s leading economic indicators.
The economic indicator index uses nine statistics to forecast the direction of the state’s economy over the next three to six months. Positive numbers signal growth while negative numbers denote contraction.
Eight of the nine components made a positive contribution to Rhode Island’s economy in October, including: unemployment claims, weekly hours in manufacturing, manufacturing exports, regional consumer expectations, national stock prices, the interest rate spread, the national orders index and the state employment barometer.
A reading of 100 on the Providence Business News/e-forecasting.com Leading Economic Indicator Index is equivalent to the state’s activity in 2000. In October 2012, the leading indicator index was 119.
October marked the first time since April that the state employment barometer registered a positive contribution on the Leading Economic Indicator Index. It was also the first time in 2013 that all but one of the nine indicators made positive contributions.
The sole component to make a negative contribution to the index in October was building permits.
In October, Rhode Island’s six-month growth rate – “a signal of turning points” – was 5.3 percent, edging up from September’s revised rate of 4 percent.
By comparison, the long-term annual growth rate for the index was 1.9 percent, the same as the annual growth rate of the state’s overall economic activity.
PBN is now accepting applications for its newest award program and event for RI & Bristol County to celebrate the Manufacturing Renaissance that is evolving regionally and across the country. The deadline for applications is March 20th.
PBN's annual Book of Lists has been an essential resource for the local business community for almost 30 years. The Book of Lists features a wealth of company rankings from a variety of fields and industries, including banking, health care, real estate, law, hospitality, education, not-for-profits, technology and many more.